Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.817804 2.088182 2.388495 2.747397 3.165459 3.638014 4.213996
2025-04-20 1.448359 1.819871 2.274312 2.873954 3.648651 4.621467 5.944614
2025-04-27 1.205113 1.606825 2.130823 2.870066 3.895206 5.279855 7.314173
2025-05-04 1.070608 1.498230 2.086164 2.962774 4.252454 6.104835 9.011457
2025-05-11 0.946329 1.379298 2.001633 2.974284 4.479757 6.760233 10.550484
2025-05-18 0.847548 1.280385 1.927452 2.982061 4.690373 7.405468 12.160930
2025-05-25 0.746160 1.162974 1.807858 2.898408 4.737558 7.788485 13.389837
2025-06-01 0.688185 1.105134 1.771832 2.940135 4.988968 8.532864 15.347855
2025-06-08 0.643745 1.063150 1.754887 3.008596 5.290524 9.398772 17.659935
2025-06-15 0.594621 1.007341 1.707546 3.016351 5.481524 10.087131 19.742078
2025-06-22 0.540084 0.936144 1.625409 2.950272 5.524673 10.500122 21.337944
2025-06-29 0.496046 0.878792 1.561291 2.908811 5.607101 10.996030 23.181367
2025-07-06 0.443341 0.805106 1.468276 2.818349 5.616533 11.420535 25.125845
2025-07-13 0.421929 0.788116 1.480914 2.941741 6.092255 12.920456 29.882446
2025-07-20 0.388507 0.743810 1.434903 2.938031 6.296166 13.865379 33.545149
2025-07-27 0.369292 0.724881 1.436236 3.033111 6.731948 15.412749 39.076125
2025-08-03 0.344009 0.690615 1.401838 3.044918 6.978427 16.558763 43.842210
2025-08-10 0.321096 0.658576 1.368067 3.052895 7.216595 17.728410 48.969346
2025-08-17 0.292923 0.612246 1.298106 2.967090 7.210117 18.272330 52.437743
2025-08-24 0.277537 0.591976 1.283101 3.009890 7.536918 19.760937 59.141967
2025-08-31 0.265410 0.577573 1.279548 3.080114 7.947770 21.562777 67.336636
2025-09-07 0.250104 0.554300 1.252786 3.088069 8.191918 22.940610 74.536013
2025-09-14 0.231455 0.521370 1.199556 3.020288 8.213862 23.669495 79.722220